Cybils VS Newbery

I wonder if people place money on ALA winners in January.  May be I should fly out to Vegas and put some money down on my picks! Who would your money be on? I am about ready to tell you who my money would be on!

I also wonder if The Cybils can be used to determine the ALA winners.  Let's look to the past to see if we can predict the future.  

One thing that The Cybils rely on is kid appeal- and I promise you that not all past ALA winners have that going for them.  Also, Cybils may be nominated by anyone. After nominations, a group of revered book bloggers read the books and vote on a winner for each category.  The winners of The Cybils are announced on Valentine's Day- after ALA announces their winners. 

To bring you up to speed, this is a little information of each award:

From The Cybils Website: (Children's & Young Adult Bloggers' Literary Awards)

Our purpose is two-fold:

-Reward the children’s and young adult authors (and illustrators, let’s not forget them) whose books combine the highest literary merit and "kid appeal." What’s that mean? If some la-di-dah awards can be compared to brussel sprouts, and other, more populist ones to gummy bears, we’re thinking more like organic chicken nuggets. -We’re yummy and nutritious. Foster a sense of community among bloggers who write about children’s and YA literature, highlight our best reviewers (and shamelessly promote their blogs) and provide a forum for the similarly obsessed. 

From The Newbery Manual:

In 2008, ALSC membership voted to change the committee composition, beginning with the 2010 committees, to eight elected, six appointed, and one appointed Chair. New committees are chosen every year. Members meet at ALA Annual Conference and Midwinter Meeting to discuss books that have been published during the year and to vote for the award winners. All members of the Association for Library Service to Children are eligible to serve on the Newbery and Caldecott awards committees. The only restrictions are that a person must agree to be present at the summer and midwinter meetings at which discussion takes place and at which the selections are made. 

The Bizarro Newbery was developed by me, last year, when I wasn't happy with the winners selected by The ALA. I nominated them, I read them and I voted for them. I looked for kid appeal and Kelly Butcher appeal. 

Here is a comparison of the awards from 2006 to last year. What do you think? Why the very noticeable difference between the winner from The Cybil middle grade division and The Newbery?  Does one winner influence the other? Do book bloggers know something about the reading habits of kids that Newbery Committee members don't? I can't wait to see how this year pans out! Can we use The Nerdies to predict any of the 2011 winners?